Mercury Rising 鳯女

Politics, life, and other things that matter

Howard Wolfson: Moron, McCain Operative, Or Both?

Posted by Phoenix Woman on August 12, 2008

We knew that Howard Wolfson was full of dung. Nate “Poblano” Silver explains just how full of it:

The thing about Iowa, however, is that unlike virtually any other electoral contest, second choices matter, since Democratic caucus rules dictate that a voter may caucus for her second-choice candidate if her first choice does not achieve the 15 percent of the vote required for viability. As such, Iowa pollsters did a lot of work in trying to determine voters’ second choices. And in virtually every survey, Clinton did rather poorly as a second choice: an average of several surveys in December showed that she was the second choice of about 20 percent of voters, as compared with 25 percent for Obama and Edwards (an even later version I have sitting on my hard drive showed the second-choice breakdown as Edwards 30, Obama 28.5, Clinton 23.5)

So the odds are that, if John Edwards had dropped out on the morning before the Iowa caucus, Obama would have won by more points rather than fewer.

It was also the case that Barack Obama appeared to get the lion’s share of Edwards supporters once Edwards dropped from the race:

Christy Hardin Smith has more on this over at my home away from home, FDL:

Oh, Howard, go back to your pals at Faux News. Your disinformation slip is showing.

And take Mark Penn with you, while you are at it. I suppose it’s a mere coincidence that the very advice Penn gave the Clinton camp on how to destroy Obama during the primary somehow made it’s way into the hands of McCain’s campaign folks…and that Penn and Charlie Black just happen to have worked together for years. Yeppers.  Just a coinkydink, I’m sure.  Sullivan has more.

I’d clean forgot about the Penn-Black connection. That would explain a lot of things.

One Response to “Howard Wolfson: Moron, McCain Operative, Or Both?”

  1. MEC said

    I think it’s no coincidence that Wolfson opened his yap and that the revelations about Penn were published in the lead-up to the Democratic National Convention. The tactic is called “Let’s You And Him Fight”.

    I won’t be surprised if Dick Morris or some other disreputable former Clintonite “remembers” the time he heard Hillary say the N-word.

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