Mercury Rising 鳯女

Politics, life, and other things that matter

Gulf War I all for Bush I re-election?

Posted by Charles II on January 2, 2011

Aftenposten, a Norwegian newspaper, is issuing Wikileak cables other sources aren't

(from BoingBoing)

The Wikileaked cables start to provide the framework to understand why Saddam Hussein made the decision to invade Kuwait in the first Gulf War. From Ambassador April Glaspie, in which she said the “US takes no position” on Arab boundary disputes, 7/25/1990. Glaspie fails to register or discuss Saddam Hussein’s complaint that the Kuwaitis are stealing oil, as indicated on this timeline, an allegation that the US should have at least been aware of, and she does not in any way address Saddam Hussein’s primary complaint, i.e., that due to the costs of the proxy war against Iran that Iraq fought with US encouragement, Iraq is broke, unable to pay its basic obligations because the price of oil is so low. The Bush Administration, of course, wishes to keep the price of oil low to end the recession and help George Herbert’s re-election chances:

¶4. SADDAM, WHOSE MANNER WAS CORDIAL, REASONABLE AND EVEN WARM THROUGHOUT THE ENSUING TWO HOURS, SAID HE WISHED THE AMBASSADOR TO CONVEY A MESSAGE TO PRESIDENT BUSH. SADDAM THEN RECALLED IN DETAIL THE HISTORY OF IRAQ’S DECISION TO REESTABLISH DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS AND ITS POSTPONING IMPLEMENTATION OF THAT DECISION AT THE BEGINNING OF THE WAR, RATHER THAN BE THOUGHT WEAK AND NEEDY. HE THEN SPOKE ABOUT THE MANY “BLOWS” OUR RELATIONS HAVE BEEN SUBJECTED TO SINCE 1984, CHIEF AMONG THEM IRANGATE. IT WAS AFTER THE FAW VICTORY, SADDAM SAID, THAT IRAQI MISAPPREHENSIONS ABOUT USG PURPOSES BEGAN TO SURFACE AGAIN, I.E., SUSPICIONS THAT THE U.S. WAS NOT HAPPY TO SEE THE WAR END.

¶5. PICKING HIS WORDS WITH CARE, SADDAM SAID THAT THERE ARE “SOME CIRCLES” IN THE USG,
INCLUDING IN CIA AND THE STATE DEPARTMENT, BUT EMPHATICALLY EXCLUDING THE PRESIDENT AND
SECRETARY BAKER, WHO ARE NOT FRIENDLY TOWARD IRAQ-U.S. RELATIONS. HE THEN LISTED WHAT HE
SEEMED TO REGARD AS FACTS TO SUPPORT THIS CONCLUSION: “SOME CIRCLES ARE GATHERING
INFORMATION ON WHO MIGHT BE SADDAM HUSAYN’S SUCCESSOR;” THEY KEPT UP CONTACTS IN THE GULF
WARNING AGAINST IRAQ; THEY WORKED TO ENSURE NO HELP WOULD GO TO IRAQ (READ EXIM AND CCC).

Continues below the fold

¶6. IRAQ, THE PRESIDENT STRESSED, IS IN SERIOUS FINANCIAL DIFFICULTIES, WITH 40 BILLION USD DEBTS.
IRAQ, WHOSE VICTORY IN THE WAR AGAINST IRAN MADE AN HISTORIC DIFFERENCE TO THE ARAB WORLD
AND THE WEST, NEEDS A MARSHALL PLAN. BUT “YOU WANT THE OIL PRICE DOWN,” SADDAM CHARGED.

¶7. RESUMING HIS LIST OF GRIEVANCES WHICH HE BELIEVED WERE ALL INSPIRED BY “SOME CIRCLES” IN THE USG, HE RECALLED THE “USIA CAMPAIGN” AGAINST HIMSELF, AND THE GENERAL MEDIA ASSAULT ON IRAQ AND ITS PRESIDENT.

¶11. COMING TO ONE OF HIS MAIN POINTS, SADDAM ARGUED THAT USG MANEUVERS WITH THE UAE AND KUWAIT (SIC) ENCOURAGED THEM IN THEIR UNGENEROUS POLICIES….

¶17. SADDAM SAID THAT THE IRAQIS KNOW WHAT WAR IS, WANT NO MORE OF IT–“DO NOT PUSH US TO IT;
DO NOT MAKE IT THE ONLY OPTION LEFT WITH WHICH WE CAN PROTECT OUR DIGNITY.”

¶32. … SADDAM SEEMS TO WANT PLEDGES NOW ON OIL PRICES AND PRODUCTION TO COVER THE NEXT SEVERAL MONTHS.

As of 8/2, Glaspie reports that Iraq has crossed the border into Kuwait.

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7 Responses to “Gulf War I all for Bush I re-election?”

  1. You have a good eye, Charles!

    • Charles II said

      :-)

      I just stop by Wikileaks every so often. But strangely, The Guardian hasn’t picked it up.

      There’s also cables about US interactions with Japan over whaling.

  2. MEC said

    I recall the furor over Ambassador April Glaspie’s ambiguous statement to Saddam Hussein, which could be interpreted as assurance that the U.S. wouldn’t intervene if Iraq invaded Kuwait, and thus as a green light for the invasion.

    “I don’t think anybody could have predicted….”

    • Charles II said

      At least in the cable, she did say that use of force was not acceptable. So, it was an intensely stupid thing to say to a man desperately searching for a way to regain the income on which his rule and his country were dependent, but perhaps not an open invitation.

      But that’s the question that these cables raise. You have a desperate man, one you know is capable of terrible violence because you have used him just such and end, and you offer him no out. You don’t even acknowledge his (probably just) claim that Kuwait is stealing Iraqi oil.

      What does one expect to happen?

      • jo6pac said

        Yep, first they support the junk yard dog and then later corner him with no way out and he does just what they wanted. king g the 1st gets his war and his rating shoot to 97% and everything is grand.
        Then in the end of his term Kuwait hands him a nice check and every one is happy, will except all the dead people that is. It happens over and over and well you get it.

  3. hotterthanapileofcurry said

    Excellent find through the glut of leaked cables from wikileaks.

    Goes to show that the second Oil war (Iraq 2003) was premeditated from the outset, all thanks to the Neo-Con inspired doctrine of PNAC.

    Akh The Angry Academic Activist
    http://hotterthanapileofcurry.wordpress.com

  4. […] to the phoenixwoman blog for digging this […]

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