Mercury Rising 鳯女

Politics, life, and other things that matter

South Carolina GOP Primary Turnouts, 2008 and 2012

Posted by Phoenix Woman on January 22, 2012

While the 2012 Republican caucus and primary turnouts in Iowa and New Hampshire (121,503 and 248,485, respectively) weren’t substantially different from 2008 (119,188 and 234,851 respectively), particularly considering the population growth in both states over the past four years, South Carolina’s 2012 turnout — 600,421 with 99.5% of precincts reporting — is markedly higher, nearly 155,000 more than in 2008.

My take is that this was the result of the TheoCons (UPDATE: What I for a long time have been calling “the religio-racist right”) pulling out all the stops to keep Romney from sailing unimpeded to the nomination.

Next up: Florida, which could, if Newt wins it, lead to the mother of all brokered conventions.

(Crossposted to MyFDL.)

2 Responses to “South Carolina GOP Primary Turnouts, 2008 and 2012”

  1. Charles II said

    The prediction of a brokered convention being, I might note, made on January 5th. (Actually earlier, I think, but it’s buried in Eschaton comments).

    The high turnout is worrisome, but probably not for the reason you suggest. Remember that Dobson is strongly against Gingrich. He wanted Santorum. Many theocons were opposed to Gingrich because it would mean having a First Lady who is an adultress (apparently Newt’s philandering doesn’t count).

    What the high turnout probably means is that the racist wing of the party has been galvanized by the takedown of Juan Williams. A 34% jump in turnout is very large, since 2008 was also a strongly contested primary, with McCain, Romney, and the Huckster competing for the military, financial, and theocratic wings of the party (not to mention Fred Thompson, going after the terminally confused).

    • Of course. I knew Newt would win South Carolina the moment I saw him pick that fight with the NAACP — and rub salt into the wound he created by visiting the AME church shortly thereafter. He timed that provocation so that it would be all over South Carolina media the week before the primary, because he knew that the footage of outraged black parishioners would mobilize the white bigots to his side.

      And Juan Williams, by calling Gingrich out on it, learned the same painful lesson that Michael Steele did when Steele dared attack the Southern Strategy: Thou Shalt Not Criticize Republicans’ Racism, Ever. Especially in South Carolina, which was the strongest backer of slavery as a colony, which made sure slavery wasn’t outlawed in the fledgling United States, was the first state to back seceding from the Union in order to protect slavery, and which backed sharecropping, Jim Crow and other methods of re-enslaving freed blacks well after Appomattox.

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