Juan Cole says I am likely to lose the bet that Morsi prevails, since left and liberal groups came out against Morsi’s move. It’s certainly bad that anti-dictatorship forces have been split, but I cannot imagine how having a president under the thumb of the military and without a parliament to back him up could be tolerable.
________________________
Abdel-Rahman Hussein, Guardian:
On Sunday, [Egyptian president Mohamed] Morsi had called on the old parliament to reconvene until a new parliament was elected.
After last month’s supreme court ruling, [the military council] Scaf decreed that parliament was dissolved, with legislative powers reverting back to the military council. It is this decree that Morsi reversed.
Usually when the men with the guns issue an order, the politicians obey. If SCAF blinks now, their days are numbered. They almost have to arrest Morsi. But if they do, then they almost guarantee that the country erupts. Up until now, the Muslim Brotherhood has been acting to tamp things down, and if they oppose the military, then the military can only count on the old Mubarak machine… and those folks are in it for the money, not for principle. So, it’s unlikely that the military will act now. But Morsi has hung a target around his neck.
Here is Juan Cole’s analysis.
My bet is that Morsi wins this round.