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Posts Tagged ‘Mitt Romney’

Arizona Anti-Immigrant Sheriff Accused By His Male Lover Of Threatening Lover’s Deportation

Posted by Phoenix Woman on February 18, 2012

This is just dripping with irony, not to mention hypocrisy:

Pinal County Sheriff Paul Babeu — who became the face of Arizona border security nationally after he started stridently opposing illegal immigration — threatened his Mexican ex-lover with deportation when the man refused to promise never to disclose their years-long relationship, the former boyfriend and his lawyer tell New Times.

The latest of the alleged threats were made through Babeu’s personal attorney, who’s also running the sheriff’s campaign for Congress in District 4, the ex-lover says.

He says lawyer Chris DeRose demanded he sign an agreement that he would never breathe a word about the affair. But Jose (New Times is withholding his last name because Babeu and his attorney have challenged his legal status) refused.


Babeu’s pulled out of being an Arizona co-chair for Mitt Romney’s campaign
, but he vowed to continue his congressional campaign and stay in office as Sheriff. Which he no doubt will, until the polling comes back showing that his racist and anti-gay Republican base has deserted him, at which point he’ll be pushed out by his own party. (What’s hilarious about this is his attempts — apparently at the advice of party higher-ups, because now all the state and national Cons rushing to his defense are mouthing variations of it — to paint himself as a victim of liberal homophobia directed against an “openly gay man”. Of course, this “openly gay man” only came out of the closet forty-eight hours ago, when he was dragged out of it by his former lover — and many of Babeu’s associates in the political world had no idea he was gay until they were told about it this week.)

I give him about four months, tops. They’ll want him out of the congressional race at the very least, and have his replacement as congressional candidate in place by July at the latest. He might limp through another term as sheriff thanks to the power of incumbency, but even that’s in doubt.

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Ron Paul Is Mitt Romney’s Best Friend. Here’s Why.

Posted by Phoenix Woman on February 6, 2012

Ever wonder why Ron Paul, the anti-establishment Republican, the hater of “ObamaCare”, the darling of hard-core conservatives and free-market libertarians as well as those progressives who actually think he means what he says about upholding the Constitution, hasn’t laid a glove on Mitt “RomneyCare” Romney since the start of the primaries?

Ever wonder why Ron Paul has, in fact, gone out of his way recently to defend Mitt Romney, as he did with Romney’s “I’m not concerned about the very poor” comment and Romney’s Bain Capitol work — and instead criticized Newt Gingrich, who for the past month and a half has been Romney’s strongest rival, over both issues?

Well, there’s this:

With Paul still in the race, it becomes much harder for whatever other non-Romney candidate might emerge, because the anti-Romney vote is suddenly split in two.

If Paul can continue to take 15 or 20 percent of the vote — or even just 10 percent — in these contests, the threshold of victory for Romney in that three-way race is much lower than it would be in a head-to-head race.

And the more Romney keeps finishing first, the more it will be clear that he’s the presumptive nominee, which will probably only increase the margin of his victories. At that point, it will likely be impossible for the non-Romney candidate to continue to fund and run a real campaign.

Remember 2008, when Mike Huckabee seemed to be sticking around even as the race was pretty clearly coming down to Romney and Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.)? Huckabee’s continued presence in that race — particularly on Super Tuesday — similarly split the anti-McCain vote and probably ruined any chance Romney had of overtaking the frontrunner.

This time, Romney could very well be on the winning side of that equation.

And there’s this:

Despite deep differences on a range of issues, Romney and Paul became friends in 2008, the last time both ran for president. So did their wives, Ann Romney and Carol Paul. The former Massachusetts governor compliments the Texas congressman during debates, praising Paul’s religious faith during the last one, in Jacksonville, Fla. Immediately afterward, as is often the case, the Pauls and the Romneys gravitated toward one another to say hello.

The Romney-Paul alliance is more than a curious connection. It is a strategic partnership: for Paul, an opportunity to gain a seat at the table if his long-shot bid for the presidency fails; for Romney, a chance to gain support from one of the most vibrant subgroups within the Republican Party.

[…]

Romney’s aides are “quietly in touch with Ron Paul,” according to a Republican adviser who is in contact with the Romney campaign and spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss its internal thinking. The two campaigns have coordinated on minor things, the adviser said — even small details, such as staggering the timing of each candidate’s appearance on television the night of the New Hampshire primary for maximum effect.

What does Ron Paul get out of it? Not much, apparently:

I don’t know if this is true, but some of the facts are well-known, and if it’s true in any measure, the people who are supporting Ron Paul will be asked to shuffle across the convention floor to support Mitt Romney, not in exchange for the Vice Presidency, and not even for a cabinet posting, but for a speech for Paul and his Senator son in prime-time during the Republican National convention. Ron Paul supporters should know that this is the extent of the goal of this entire campaign, and that Mitt Romney has designs on their support. This is the reason that throughout these debates, and throughout the campaigns, Ron Paul hasn’t run one negative ad against Romney, and hasn’t even ruffled Mitt’s feathers in any of the debates. He has a strategic alliance, and he’s willing to carry out this charade in order to get a speaking platform for he and his son.

This leads me to several questions I have long suspected I would have to ask of the folks who have with such vigor and diligence supported Ron Paul, through thick and thin, and against the taunts of most of the other campaigns or candidates. Is that what you Paul supporters have been angling to achieve? Will you put down your Paul signs and pick up Romney placards instead? Is this the ultimate meaning of your money bombs, your poll-slamming, and all the other activities in which you have participated in support of Ron Paul’s agenda? How much influence do you now think Paul will wield in a Mitt Romney administration? Do you think Romney will legalize drugs? What about the military and foreign aid budgets? What of the commitment to the Constitution? What becomes of eliminating the Federal Reserve? What will you do when you discover that not only has your candidate undercut you, but that all he managed for your trouble were twenty-four dollars worth of costume conservatism?

There you go.

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PW Makes A Daring Prediction About Newt’s Press Conference Tonight

Posted by Phoenix Woman on February 4, 2012

Newt Gingrich, former House Speaker and current presidential hopeful, is having a press conference tonight after the Nevada primary results are in.

Many think Newt will announce that he’s pulling out and conceding the nomination. I don’t think so.

I think it’s going to be Newt’s announcing that he’s going to be hiring a guy that Mitt Romney just spurned because Mitt’s ego is getting too big for its britches:

A GOP operative who won plaudits for bolstering Mitt Romney’s recent debate performances is not being retained by the front-runner’s campaign, an apparent victim of internal tensions over staff receiving too much credit for the candidate’s comeback, POLITICO has learned.

Brett O’Donnell, a former top aide to Michele Bachmann, has been paid for his work assisting Romney in the crucial Florida debates but was not offered a formal role with the campaign as he expected, according to Republican sources familiar with the situation.

I think that Romney dumped the guy both because of Romney’s ego, and also because of Romney’s arrogance. He needs 1144 delegates to win the nomination, and he’s got less than a tenth of that even with winning Nevada tonight, yet he’s already acting as if the nomination is his — so he’s preparing to pivot away from the Birchers and Tea Partiers and towards a message he thinks will be more suited to the general election. If he’s already pivoting away from the Tea Partiers, he won’t need an expert in Tea Party talk like O’Donnell, or so I imagine him to be thinking.

I have no inside information, just a weird wild guess that this is what I would do if I were Newt.

We’ll see in a few hours just how wrong — or right — I am.

UPDATE: Well, he didn’t mention O’Donnell by name, but he didn’t concede either. So it’s half-right, or half-wrong, depending on how you score these things.

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The Republicans’ Enthusiasm Gap

Posted by Phoenix Woman on February 1, 2012

I’ve been trying to gauge relative voter enthusiasm by comparing 2012 primary and caucus results to those of 2008, on the idea that the more folks who turn out for the early primaries, the ones that decide the end result months in advance, are the key ones to watch as the motivation factor to participate will be higher in those than in the primaries held after them.

Up to this point — aside from South Carolina which was the Tea Party’s Last Hurrah, hence the huge TheoCon turnout which disproportionately benefited Newt — turnout’s been similar to 2008, especially when you take population growth into account. But then we came to Florida, and Florida’s GOP turnout this year was much lower than four years ago: 1,663,698 to 2008’s 1,949,498, or nearly 300,000 less.

I believe this means that while the Republican’s Tea-Party/Bircher base may have grudgingly accepted Romney as the only Republican who stands a chance against Obama this year, the operative word here is “grudgingly”. This was an incredibly hard-fought state — Romney needed Florida’s winner-take-all system to put a stake through Newt’s heart, which is why he outspent Newt there by a five-to-one margin — and if there really was the huge “dump Obama” fervor the GOP/Media Complex says exists, one would expect turnout to have been much higher than in 2008. Instead, the opposite happened, and there was a fifteen percent drop in turnout from 2008.

From now on, the rest of the primary schedule will have a decreasing amount of relevance aside from padding Mitt’s delegate totals. Money that was either on the sidelines or committed to other candidates will now start flowing Mitt’s way, and he’s going to need it: He outspent Santorum by nearly 100-to-1 in Iowa and still lost by a hairsbreadth, he outspent Gingrich by over two-to-one in South Carolina and got beaten like a gong, and he had to pull out all the stops and outspend Newt by five-to-one to beat him in Florida. His easiest win was in New Hampshire, where he had the advantage of being the only New Englander in the race, and even there he still had to spend over $10 million.

David Paul Kuhn of the Republican-run RealClearPolitics addresses the Republicans’ enthusiam gap in a roundabout way, asking: “Will Romney’s Strengths Prove Moot Against Obama?” Well, when even the Republican stalwart Scott Rasmussen’s polling shows Obama beating Romney by four percentage points in the general, I suspect that the answer is “no”.

Why is this? A number of reasons have been advanced, one of them being anti-Mormon prejudice, but I suspect that another factor is this: Having Romney as the nominee would mean that the Republicans’ biggest weapon to date against Obama and the Democrats — the unpopularity of the Affordable Care Act — is now permanently neutralized, as the ACA is in essence a national version of the “Romneycare” that Mitt introduced in Massachusetts, and too many Republicans are all too aware of this.

If Romney is ever foolish enough to criticize the ACA during any of his debates with Obama, all Obama has to do is tell the stark truth: “Funny you should say that, Governor, as we used your Romneycare plan as a model for the Affordable Care Act.”

Posted in 2008, 2012, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

Who’s More Racist, Santorum Or Romney? The Answer May Shock You

Posted by Phoenix Woman on January 19, 2012

Shortly after I finished reading this piece from the Washington Post‘s Aaron Blake, in which he tries mightily to kill the idea that the truth (namely, that Romney lost the Iowa caucuses to Santorum) should be allowed to derail the effects of the reporting he and his Romney-fluffing buddies have produced on order from their bosses, I ran into this from Alec MacGillis in TNR:

Most of all, though, it seems odd to be chiding Santorum for playing to unpleasant racial dynamics when he spent several minutes early in the debate arguing on behalf of restoring voting rights to ex-convicts. It served the purpose of throwing Mitt Romney back on his heels for a few moments as he scrambled to compute what the proper answer was on this touchy issue, but it was also about as likely to win Santorum votes in the GOP South Carolina primary as cutting up the Confederate flag in front of the state Capitol for napkins….

[…]

For a Republican candidate to be talking like this when Republican state legislatures are doing their darndest to suppress black turnout, by non-convicted voters much less by felons, is a big deal.

Especially considering that Santorum brought up the subject because Mitt Romney’s superPAC was running an ad trying to Willie-Hortonize Santorum over Santorum’s vote for the Martin Luther King Bill.

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Romney “Left” Bain Capital? Do Leopards Change Their Spots?

Posted by Phoenix Woman on January 14, 2012

So far, the most explosive opposition-research attack of the 2012 Republican presidential primary has been this video, “When Mitt Romney Came to Town”, done by former 2008 Romney campaign member Jason Killian Meath, depicting — complete with interviews of the persons affected — the devastation wrought on a South Carolina town by the firm Romney founded, Bain Capital:

The folks at FactCheck.org don’t like the video very much, and their main beef concerns the KY Toys angle:

As we mentioned above, the former Massachusetts governor left Bain in February 1999, almost two years before the firm bought KB Toys in December 2000. (Romney still may have benefited from the transaction. In a retirement agreement he negotiated with his former partners, Romney has continued to profit from Bain’s deals.)

Even FactCheck.org feels obligated to mention that Romney still is profiting from what Bain is doing.

Furthermore, there’s not much evidence to show that the stories of KB and of the residents of Gaffney would have had happier endings had Mitt Romney stayed with the firm. Bain and Romney are still quite simpatico; as this Politico piece points out, Bain is Romney’s biggest backer. William D. Cohan, who had extensive dealings with Bain and with Romney at Bain, closes his Washington Post piece on Romney and Bain with these words:

The real Bain way may be nothing more than a clever tactic to eliminate competition from a heated auction in order to buy a business at an attractive price. After all, Bain Capital is seeking the highest returns for its investors. But Bain’s behavior also reveals something about the values it brings to bear in a process that requires honor and character to work properly. If a firm’s word is not worth the paper it is printed on, then its reputation for bad behavior will impair its ability to function in an honorable and productive way.

I don’t know if Bain Capital still uses the bait-and-switch technique when it competes in auctions these days (I’m told that it doesn’t). But that was the way the firm’s partners competed when Romney ran the place. This win-at-any-cost approach makes me wonder how a President Romney would negotiate with Congress, or with China, or with anyone else — and what a promise, pledge or endorsement from him would actually mean.

[…]

I have no idea how Romney might behave in office. I do believe, however, that when he was running Bain Capital, his word was not his bond.

It begins to look like Romney “left” Bain like Cheney “left” Halliburton and Jack Welch “left” NBC: There’s not much discernible difference in the “before” and “after” shots.

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged: , , | 10 Comments »

Iowa Republican Caucus Turnout On Par With 2008; Mitt Gets Six Votes Less

Posted by Phoenix Woman on January 5, 2012

As we all know by now, Mitt Romney, just barely, won the Iowa caucuses Tuesday night.

An 8-vote margin is nothing to crow about, especially when Santorum is likely to inherit most of Bachmann’s vote now that she’s pulled out. (Fascinatingly, Rick Perry hasn’t pulled out yet: Wonder if he’s playing hard to get in order to leverage himself onto a Santorum or Romney ticket as a running mate? If so, that’d be the first evidence I’ve seen that the man can think straight.)

From the point of view of Obama, what ought to make him happy is comparing Tuesday night’s turnout to 2008’s:

Total turnout in the Iowa GOP 2008 caucuses: 119,188. In 2008, Iowa had an estimated population of 3,002,555, so 3.96955% of the state’s population turned out in 2008.

Total turnout in the Iowa GOP 2012 caucuses: 122,224 (per my count of the numbers shown here: http://caucuses.desmoinesregister.com/data/iowa-caucus/results/). In 2011, Iowa’s estimated population was 3,062,309, so 3.9912% of the state’s population turned out last night. (Romney actually received six fewer votes last night — for a total of 30,015 — than he did in his second-place finish to Huckabee in 2008, when he got 30,021.)

In other words, for all the talk of fired-up Republicans ready to surge to victory, that ain’t happening, at least not in Iowa.

Posted in 2012 | Tagged: , , | 7 Comments »

Do GOP Base Voters See Ron Paul’s Racism As A Bad Thing? Probably Not.

Posted by Phoenix Woman on December 29, 2011

If you’re part of the reality-based community and you’ve been following politics in America for the last decade or so, then you likely knew about the Ron Paul newsletters — and their bigoted contents — well before establishment Republican media outlets dredged them up again to lob at him. (The first time they were dredged up, it was lefties who did the dredging.)

You will notice that while the establishment GOP’s favorite mouthpieces and megaphones have been taking about the newsletters to anyone who will listen, Ron Paul’s Republican rivals generally aren’t touching them. (Bachmann’s the only one to actually do so; Romney, on the other hand, would not even when a reporter offered him the opportunity.) Instead, they’re largely attacking him as being “dangerous” on foreign policy (which is their way of saying he’s against the Iraq and Afghanistan wars).

In other words, most of the other Republican candidates know full well that racism is not considered a bad thing by most GOP base voters. After nearly half a century of the corporate-bigot alliance that is the GOP’s Southern Strategy, the Republican base sees bigotry not as a bug, but a feature.

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Bachmann’s Iowa Chair Defects To Ron Paul’s Campaign

Posted by Phoenix Woman on December 28, 2011

Right after he appeared with Bachmann at a 4 o’clock afternoon campaign stop in Indianola, state senator Kent Sorenson, Bachmann’s Iowa campaign chair, defects to the Ron Paul campaign.

This is fantastically good news for Ron Paul. If he can Hoover up even a quarter of Bachmann’s Iowa supporters, he beats Romney easily. Mitt’s going to have to go into fricking overdrive now — I expect to see him dump another $10 million in ads in the next few days.

Here’s the press release announcing this news: Read the rest of this entry »

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