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Archive for April 5th, 2011

Be still, my heart

Posted by Charles II on April 5, 2011

Update: I am delighted to be wrong about the outcome of the election.

Congratulations, Justice Kloppenburg!
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12:01 Eastern. Kloppenburg by 35,000 with 84% of precincts counted. One red county and one purple county yet to be counted (and a number of counties on either side partial).
12:03. Kloppenburg by 12,000
12:06 Kloppenburg by 3,200 with 89% counted. 40 precincts in Dane and 30 in Milwaukee out of 408 to be counted vs. 73 in red-red Waukesha.
12:10 Kloppenburg by 3,500. At this point, would have to say odds favor Prosser, but it could go either way.
12:12 Kloppenburg by 3,500 with 90.4% of precincts counted.
12:19 Kloppenburg by 3,300
12:21 Kloppenburg by 1,500 with 92% counted… but that included red-red Waupaca. Blue Dane has 41 and Milwaukee 13 and Eau Claire 41 out of 300 remaining.
12:21 Prosser up by 500.
12:24 Prosser up by 500, 92% counted. Another Prosser stronghold is Marathon, with 33 precincts to go and then there’s Washington with 19 precincts and Waukesha with 68 vs. Dane with 41 and Eau Claire with 40. Odds favor Prosser.
12:30 Prosser by 400, 93.4% counted
12:33 Prosser by 6,400. Dane is almost completely counted. I think it’s over, and the wrong person won.
12:37 Prosser by 1,800. 95% counted, and the only big pools of votes are Marathon and Waukesha. The big question in this election will be why did Milwaukee give 44% of its votes to Prosser.
12:42. Prosser by 1,900. Racine, another red county, has 10 precincts outstanding. Eau Claire, a blue county, has 21. Of red counties, Waukesha and Washington are in, but Marathon (32 precincts) is not.
12:51 Kloppenburg by 1,500 (!) Red Marathon and reddish Racine still out, but Eau Claire and Milwaukee also out. 96.7% counted.
12:55 Prosser by 4700. Approximately 40,000 votes remain to be counted, so Kloppenburg would have to take about 22,500 , or 56%. This is unlikely.
12:57 Prosser by 2,400. 97.2% counted.
1:00 Prosser by 2,400.
1:06 Prosser by 1,700. Prediction: tomorrow, a lot of people in Wisconsin will wish they had voted.
1:09. 32 precincts from red Marathon remain out. 12 from blue Milwaukee. 21 from blue Eau Claire. Ninety seven total.
1:18 No change in precincts counted or in Prosser lead. Josh Marshall says they may be counting absentees and that some vote totals haven’t been corrected yet.
11:33 WISN says only 27 precincts have not been counted, so evidently AP has stopped updating. WISN also says that Eau Claire has to do its hand count
11:42 Prosser by 2,000. Calumetand Adams County counted.
11:46 Prosser campaign says that the outstanding precincts in Eau Claire are in the suburbs.

I’m going to have to do a little sleeping, but at the moment, one would have to say that Prosser has probably won.

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